Data@Breakfast: “The Mathematics of Covid-19 and Other Diseases: Current Questions and A Historical Perspective” by Prof. Martin Bucher

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Data@Breakfast: “The Mathematics of Covid-19 and Other Diseases: Current Questions and A Historical Perspective” by Prof. Martin Bucher

June 5, 2020 @ 7:30 am - 8:30 pm UTC+2

Abstract: Modelling the spread of epidemics has a long history and applies a number of concepts from applied mathematics and statistics to public health. I will review this subject from a largely historical perspective and try to explain why the different models do not agree. I will also try to explain some of the challenges to making accurate predictions with a view toward distinguishing those predictions that are robust and those which are more fragile. The qualitative theory of ordinary differential equations, first developed by Poincaré, Birkoff, Lyanponov, and others is also relevant here as well as stochastic modelling. In closing, I will also mention some other relevant questions where the physical sciences may have something to contribute to the discussion, for example concerning the propagation of aerosols.

Bio: After receiving his BA from UC Berkeley and PhD from Caltech, Bucher held positions at the Institute for Advanced Study, Princeton University, the CN Yang Institute for Theoretical Physics at SUNYSB, and the University of Cambridge, before settling in France in 2004. Bucher was awarded the Gruber Prize in Cosmology as part of the Planck Team and is a member of the Academy of Science of South Africa. Most of Bucher’s work has dealt with high energy theoretical physics,  theoretical cosmology, and microwave band astronomy from space. Bucher spends his summers at UKZN.

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Prof. Martin Bucher
Fractional Research Professor of Mathematics, University of KwaZulu-Natal Directeur de
recherche au CNRS, Université de Paris and École Normale Supérieure

Details

Date:
June 5, 2020
Time:
7:30 am - 8:30 pm UTC+2

Organizer

Francesco Petruccione
Email
petruccione@ukzn.ac.za
View Organizer Website

Venue

Zoom